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Hudna Collapse

09 August 2003

By Yisrael Ne’eman

The ‘hudna’ or Islamic cease-fire the Palestinians imposed on themselves appears closer to collapse now than at any time since its inception.  The idea was faulty from the outset since such a truce is only designed to allow the Palestinians terror organizations to recover from the devastating blows suffered at the hands of Israeli security forces this past June.  The 90 day period is almost half over and due to end September 29, exactly three years from the original outbreak of violence as initiated by Palestinian Authority Chairman Yasir Arafat.

Israel’s acceptance of the cease-fire a month ago was predicated on Palestinian Authority agreement to uproot the terror infrastructure.  Palestinian PM Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazen) and security chief Mohammed Dahlan have done neither and are reported to be turning a blind eye to the production and transport of Kassam rockets (right through PA checkpoints) and the free movement of terrorist suspects as reported on the Voice of Israel Radio.  Army Chief of Staff Moshe Ya’alon is continuing to make clear to the political echelon the non-compliance of the Palestinians with the anti-terror provisions.  Just in the Nablus area ten homicide bomber suspects were rounded up and another two terror suspects killed when they resisted arrest in recent days.

Abbas and Dahlan are making the right noises but doing nothing.  They have made it very clear they will not risk civil conflict to disarm the Hamas, Islamic Jihad, El-Aksa Brigades or anyone else.  Both are proving true to their words and there is no reason to believe they will change course and impose their authority.  One can expect the Palestinian terror offensive to be renewed sooner rather then later.

This time one can expect Israel to go after the terrorist leaders with massive force, a policy interrupted by the cries for a ‘hudna’ (where Israel was forced into acceptance under the US steamroller) which the IDF will hope to complete when the next round explodes.